Explore how different pieces of historical evidence might update your beliefs using Bayesian reasoning. This is an educational tool for rational inquiry, not advocacy.
Historians use Bayesian analysis to assess which explanation best fits the available evidence. It helps weigh competing theories—like legend, hallucination, or a real resurrection—not by proving anything absolutely, but by showing which is most probable given the facts. It's a way to reason clearly under uncertainty, just like we do in courtrooms, science, or everyday life.